Swedish comp list, scoring 14.0

[N.I.C.K]

I've got a tournament coming up with 130 people (biggest in Australia) and it's using Swedish comp. Lists are to score between 10-16, the way comp is being adjusted is for the person with the lower comp score to have the difference subtracted from their score while the higher comp score gets added (ie a 10 playing a 16 can get a maximum 14-6 win). So it definitely helps to score on the high end of the comp.

Supreme Sorc; Lvl 4 Shadow, Book of Ashur, 5+ WS
Master; BSB, 2+ AS, Ring of Hotek
Master; Dark Steed, Dragonhelm, Dawnstone, Halberd, 1+ AS, Brace of Reaper Handbows
2 x 10 Witch Elves
5 Dark Riders, Light armour, RXB
27 Spearmen, Full command
2 x 12 Executioners
15 Black Guard, Muso, Standard, Razor banner
3 x Reaper Bolt Throwers
8 Shades, Great Weapons
Bloodwrack Shrine

2400pts

I think with this comp the tourney will see a lot of lvl 2 casters and no scrolls (due to the comp hit), therefore the lone lvl4 shadow can potentially dominate. So what does everyone think? I've gone with a 14 as I think you make too many sacrifices to get to a 16 but means I'm losing a max of 2 BPs on a game.